Let us look into the situation on Korean Peninsula;
1) We have 30K troops in South Korea, North has 1 million
plus 6 million reserves.
2) Most of our military is tied up in Afghanistan till
the end of 2014.
3) Our troops are showing combat fatigue since many are
on their 3rd or 4th deployment.
4) We can't use nuclear or chemical weapons against the
North because of China and Russia and yet if they have them, North Korea has every
reason to use them to spread the
conflict worldwide and win.
5) Air superiority alone can’t win wars. Carpet bombing
could not win Vietnam War.
6) Where will the money come from for this war? Borrow
more from Chinese while fighting Chinese or print more?
7) Kim Jung Un figured out that China simply can’t afford
to let North Korea be taken off the map regardless of the rhetoric.
8) Strategic equation between North Korea, China, Russia
and the US has not changed since the end of Korean War in 1953. Soviet Mig-15s
flew combat missions against us during Korean War. Chinese soldiers made the
back bone of the Communist forces, a scenario likely to repeat.
9) Kim Jung Un has a window of opportunity to attack
since we are militarily spread thin right now.
10) Economic sanctions have led to wars before.
11) Obama is no JFK.
Feel free to draw your own conclusions but I think we are
headed into another major war in the Far East with possibly unpleasant
consequences for us.
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